Here are our updated predictions based on the number of the number of online posts about the four candidates in the runoffs as of noon EST today, 1/5/21, as a proxy for voter engagement and also continuing to account for the uncertainty about voter turnout rates. The total vote numbers have changed a bit but the overall outlook for the outcome remains unchanged from our earlier predictions.
These forecasts are being produced by Co-Principal Investigator Dr. Purush Papatla with assistance from Ling Tong, Doctoral Student in the College of Health Sciences, UW-Milwaukee.